During the Fort Lauderdale leg of the American’s For Prosperity (AFP) Florida bus tour, pollster Scott Rasmussen, one of the event’s featured speakers told the Shark Tank that “Bill Nelson is the favorite in the race” in Florida’s contentious Senate race versus Congressman Connie Mack and that his firm would be “polling this race every week.” Rasmussen also eluded, but did not come out and say that Mack has made considerable gains of late and could be in a better position in the next poll.
Rasmussen’s last pol had Mack trailing Nelson by 14 points, but we expect to see this race tighten up in the remaining weeks.
This is good news for Team Mack, as many have downplayed Mack’s chances, noting that Mack’s campaign lacks grassroots legs, even prompting one AFP official to say that the campaign is being run “more like a City Councilman’s race than a Senate race.”
There is no doubt that Governor Mitt Romney’s recent bump in the Florida polls after the last Presidential debate would benefit Mack, as Mack has acknowledged that his campaign is banking on Romney’s success in Florida.But is it too late or is Mack peaking at just the right time? Over the past several months, Mack’s campaign has been sluggish at best, and some have questioned the newly installed political direction of the campaign while others have questioned Mack’s desire to win. But this is politics, and at the end of the day, politics comes down to votes.
Expect Mack to have a strong performance at the October 17th debate being held at Nova Southeastern University, as the debate will potentially force Nelson to defend his failed record and the unpopular agenda. If Mack can articulate Nelson’s deficiencies and put him on the defensive, Mack would be poised to pick up more momentum while continuing to step up his campaign stops across the state.
Regardless of what some polls say now, Mack still has significant upside potential- some still say that the race is Mack’s to lose. Stay tuned….
Related: Mack Makes Up Ground
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