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Can Governor Scott Survive Lagging Poll Numbers?

By JAVIER MANJARRES

rick scott green tieFlorida’s jobs rate is up and its once stagnant economy is growing.  So why is Florida Governor Rick Scott trailing in the latest head-to-head poll against a potential Democrat challenger for his job, Charlie Crist?  The one-time Republican turned Independent and now Democrat Charlie Crist is leading Scott in the latest Quinnipiac poll by a 16-point margin. Scott also trails his 2010 general election opponent former Florida CFO Alex Sink 34-45.

Unfortunately, the Republican party has not done Scott any favors, as the RPOF has done little if anything to contest the Democratic Party’s narrative that Scott has failed Floridians.

Scott has also made political missteps by going back on his promise to deny Obamacare at every turn possible by indicating that he would accept the federal government’s Medicaid expansion.


So with his base of support unsettled and many in the Republican fold considering alternate candidates, can Scott overcome these very poor poll numbers in time?

One GOP consultant told the Shark Tank that he believes that Scott will prevail against any Democrat simply because he can spend the money to put himself in a position to win. In addition, Charlie Crist is not trusted by Democrats, especially after the one-time self-described “conservative Republican” magically evolved into a Democrat just last year. Democratic operatives and legislative staffers at both the state and federal level agree that Crist is not the best choice, but they could and probably would hold their nose and vote for him just to defeat Scott.

Any other candidate that the Democrats put up to challenge Scott, including already announced state Senator Nan Rich would most likely come from the Democratic party’s extreme left faction and would alienate many ‘soft’ Democrat voters and Independents.  The reason why Democrat Alex Sink able to garner the votes that she did against Scott in 2010 was because she came across as a pro-business ‘moderate’ Democrat that appealed to Independents, ‘soft’ Democrats, and moderate Republicans.

If Scott continues to show considerable vulnerability, should Republicans pressure him to step aside?

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About author

Javier Manjarres

As the managing editor of The Shark Tank, Javier was awarded the 2011 CPAC Blogger of the Year. Countless videos and articles from the Shark Tank have been featured on Fox News, The Hill, Wall Street Journal, and other national news publications. Javier has also appeared on Univision’s “Al Punto” and numerous radio shows, including being the weekly 92.5 Fox News' DayBreak with Drew Steele political contributor, as well as one of NewsmaxTV's conservative commentators.

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  • linda123456

    scott backing obamacare has hurt him…….the people of florida voted a conservative as governor, and expect him to behave as such. if he doesn’t, he won’t be re elected

  • http://Flimen Jack Oliver

    Scott breaking his promise to “Get tough on illegal Immigrants” sealed the deal for me. This was the cornerstone of his campaign and it was obvious he never intended to use the full power of his office to get the legislature to pass a bill. He joins a long list ” of Republi Cons ” that suckered the voters into believing they were actually serious about solving Florida’s illegal immigration crisis. The list includes Mel Martinez, Jeff Atwater, Marco Rubio. Non of these guys will ever get my vote again. You can add open borders, pro illegal alien workers, Jeb Bush and Adam Putnam to the no vote list as well.

  • http://Flimen Jack Oliver

    Scott breaking his promise to “Get tough on illegal Immigrants” sealed the deal for me. This was the cornerstone of his campaign and it was obvious he never intended to use the full power of his office to get the legislature to pass a bill. He joins a long list ” of Republi Cons ” that suckered the voters into believing they were actually serious about solving Florida’s illegal immigration crisis. The list includes Mel Martinez, Jeff Atwater, Marco Rubio. Non of these guys will ever get my vote again. You can add open borders, pro illegal alien workers, Jeb Bush and Adam Putnam to the no vote list as well.

  • Chrissy

    The truth is that 40 – 45% of the voters are moderate. Only a moderate posing candidate can win. Scott has no choice but to cave into Obamacare because it is what the majority of his constituency wants. Maybe one day the tea party can realize that we need to use the same tactics as the Democrats and pose as moderates and then swing towards conservatism instead of liberalism. I’m sure Scott figured out that the FL Senate would cover his political move, which they did.

    • Chopper

      An interesting “truth.” However, that truth begs the question of how he got elected in the first place because he based his candidacy a on non moderate, conservative platform.

  • Donald Sammis

    about half the Florida voters supported Obama in the last electio, demonstrating that they are brain dead. Thats all you have to know.

  • Chopper

    Rick Scott ran & won as a “I am not a politician!” candidate espousing Tea Party sentiments. During recent months, he has discarded his Tea Party persona donned the “suck up clothes” of a career politician. Unfortunately for those who voted him into office, the majority of those comprising the groups he is sucking up to can be considered to be a part of the problem.

    If he had remained true to those ideals that won him the election, I would have voted for him in the primaries & in the general election. But because he abandoned those ideals in a misguided quest for votes, I will not vote for him in either the primaries or general election which means in the gubernatorial race, my ballot may be blank.

    • Paul

      Chopper, a withheld vote is worse than a vote FOR the opposition. You can always tell him later you only voted for him because you couldn’t stomach voting for his opponent.

  • http://3VFZ yshaw1

    Not smart! a blank ballot is one more vote for the Dems.

  • Ken

    Scott can survive if he is able to get his message out. But he will have two opponents in his quest for re-election – the Democrat nominee, and the media, most notably, the Miami Herald and the Tampa Bay Times.

  • ed fouts

    scott one track mind, jobs, jobs its more than just jobs idiot,
    i voted for this clown and want do it again,
    LETS GET TO WORK, THERE ARE LOTS OF OTHER PROBLEMS IN FLORIDA THAT THIS CLOWN HAS NOT ADDRESSED, YA LETS GET WORK AND HE,S HIDING ALL THE TIME, SCOTT I WILL NOT VOTE FOR YOU .

    • Ape

      Is all about work, jobs, $, there is nothing else more important and he has been very good at it, its all about the economy $.